想要获得最佳的阅读体验?免费下载FT中文网iPad应用程序,全球财经精粹尽在掌握!
@FT中文网【把密歇根州卖给中国?】亲爱的经济学家:汽车业危机让美国密歇根州的经济彻底陷入困境,我们应如何应对?是要参照历史先例,将整个州卖给中国人吗?如果这么做的话,那多少钱才算是一个好价钱呢?
── 读者J女士
2009年01月14日 00:00 AM

DEAR ECONOMIST: WHAT SHOULD I CHARGE CHINA FOR MICHIGAN?

背景
中文 评论 打印 电邮 收藏
 
Here in Michigan we have a problem: the car industry. Thanks to foreign competition and the doubtful management of the Big Three, the state's economy is in serious trouble. Should we just sell the state to the Chinese? Michigan has a historical precedent for this - it traded the city of Toledo to Ohio in exchange for the upper peninsula. But what would be a good price? Mrs J, Michigan

Dear Mrs J, Make sure you don't sell yourselves cheap. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis put Michigan's GDP at $382bn in 2007. This attempts to measure the value added to all goods and services in Michigan - anything from haircuts to assembling a car - but does not include components imported from outside the state.

That $382bn figure puts Michigan into the top 25 economies in the world. Even China's GDP is less than nine times greater.

So how much would it cost to buy $382bn of productive power? No corporation adds nearly as much value; the economist Paul de Grauwe reckoned that in 2000, value added was $67bn for Wal-Mart and $53bn for Exxon, the two largest companies. Their market value at the time was about five times their value added.

If the same ratio applied, buying Michigan would cost China almost $2 trillion - roughly what its State Administration of Foreign Exchange has to spend. All this assumes that Michigan's residents, like Wal-Mart staff, would be free to leave if they didn't like the new management.

Still, don't hold out too long: even before the credit crunch, Michigan's GDP per head was falling in real terms. This may be the right time to sell.

蒂姆•哈福德上一篇文章:

失业救济不是坏事 2009-01-08

您可能感兴趣的文章:

“腐败”经济学 2009-03-09
如何扩大彩票中奖概率? 2009-02-27
我该嫁给他吗? 2009-02-24
排序: 评论总数
[查看评论]
未经英国《金融时报》书面许可,对于英国《金融时报》拥有版权和/或其他知识产权的任何内容,任何人不得复制、转载、摘编或在非FT中文网(或:英国《金融时报》中文网)所属的服务器上做镜像或以其他任何方式进行使用。已经英国《金融时报》授权使用作品的,应在授权范围内使用。
就本文发表看法或联系编辑部,请电邮至 editor@ftchinese.com