Rural banking in China seems an unmissable opportunity: 700m potential depositors, the vast majority of whom have never been within spitting distance of a credit card or a standard adjustable-rate mortgage.
The catch is that few of them actually want them. With income uncertain – most are farmers or migrant workers, liable to be fired at any time – they tend to stash savings with credit co-operatives, postal savings bank outlets, or the Agricultural Bank of China. Servicing those 35,000 co-ops has not brought much joy in the past: non-performing loans to co-ops topped 37 per cent in 2002.
Still, that hasn't stopped foreign lenders. If Santander confirms talks with China Construction Bank to establish a rural banking joint venture – as rumoured on Thursday – investors can expect more boilerplate rhetoric about narrowing income disparities, echoing the industry regulator. As with recent rural bank-opening projects carried out by HSBC, Citi and Standard Chartered, operations will be small – 107 rural banks, most of them owned by Chinese lenders, had Rmb3.3bn ($483m) of loans outstanding at the end of last year – and talk of actual returns will be almost indecent. Net interest margins will be closely monitored, while losses may be a lot higher than the sponsors would tolerate back home.
But China is a market where the pro bono approach can pay off. The China Banking Regulatory Commission puts a premium on loyalty: the exploits of UBS and Royal Bank of Scotland, which sold so-called “strategic” Chinese bank stakes to patch up capital ratios earlier this year, have left a sour taste.
This is no place for banking visionaries – lenders do what they're allowed to do, when they're allowed to do it. But foreign banks that put capital to work in support of policy objectives know they stand a fair chance of being rewarded, in time.

Lex专栏是由FT评论家联合撰写的短评,对全球经济与商业进行精辟分析。栏目始于1930年,其团队分布在纽约、伦敦、香港和东京四地。无人确知其名称的起源,有人认为源于拉丁语“微罪不举” 。(


