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@FT中文网【Lex专栏:央行官员必须是经济学家?】伯南克今年六月有望成为美联储理事中唯一一位经济学家。澳洲央行中,逾半数委员从未阅读过凯恩斯原著。而欧洲央行中,拥有经济学博士头衔则是必要条件。
2010年03月12日 07:08 AM

Central bank CVs

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Need central bankers be trained economists? The US does not think so. Donald Kohn's announcement that he is leaving the Federal Reserve in June leaves Ben Bernanke as the only economics specialist on the board of governors. Likewise, in Australia more than half the committee that jacked up interest rates last week were never forced to read Keynes in the original. Not so at the European Central Bank, where doctorates in economics are almost de rigueur. And all but one of the Bank of England's monetary policy committee were formally educated in the dismal science. Are CVs, therefore, irrelevant? After all, during the financial crisis central banks stacked with academics as well as those with mixed boards were praised and criticised alike. But surely not everyone qualifies. Markets would certainly not tolerate policymakers at the Bank of Canada, say, being made up entirely of ice hockey players – because the holy grail of central banking is credibility.

This is a much debated topic in monetary policy economics. Generally, credibility is thought to be a good thing. If policymakers are credible, they can keep inflation low without having to resort to higher interest rates – merely knowing inflation will not be tolerated is enough to keep expectations in check. The trouble is that credibility is hard to measure (academics sometimes resort to using central bank independence as a rough proxy) and its benefits are inconclusive.

Still, central bankers and academics firmly believe in it as a concept. Yet a 1999 paper by Princeton's Alan Blinder shows that the latter are more sceptical of the importance of credibility than the former. That does not mean economists should be banned from policy making. But it does suggest they have no right to monopolise central banks.

Lex专栏上一篇文章:

Lex专栏:对冲基金真在做空希腊? 2010-03-11

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本文涉及话题:中央银行 央行官员 央行
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作者简介

Lex专栏是由FT评论家联合撰写的短评,对全球经济与商业进行精辟分析。栏目始于1930年,其团队分布在纽约、伦敦、香港和东京四地。无人确知其名称的起源,有人认为源于拉丁语“微罪不举” 。(Lex专栏更多文章)